China Iron & Steel Industry Report,2005
  • Aug/2005
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In 2004, China produced 272,79 million tons of steel and 251,85 million tons of pig iron with rises of 22.7 % and 24.2% respectively last year, and produced 297,23 million tons of rolled steel (recycled steel included), with an increase of 23.29%. According to the calculation, the growth rate of apparent steel consumption dropped from 25.8% in 2003 to 10.71% in 2004. After investigation, we found that the decrease of the steel storage has decreased the rate of actual consumption to around 13%, a 12.8% decrease year-on-year.

With the importation decreasing and the exportation increasing for steel and steel billets, the net volume of imported steel decreased from 36.55 million tons in 2003 to approximately 13.83 million tons in 2004, a cut by 22.72 million tons, or 62.16%, that is, 45% of the steel production increased in 2004 is for importation and exportation. This change is a significant transition: on one hand it shows that in recent years, the development of steel industry is, in general, sound, active and effective, and on the other hand it also reminds us that the room for further expanding steel production capacity becomes smaller than ever.

Chinese steel industry developed rapidly thanks to the high market demand for steel. It kept a good balance between production and sales and made substantial economic returns in the first quarter of 2005, in which China achieved the expected favorable balance for the first time. In March 2005,the international negotiation on iron ore and its increasing price became the focus of the world. There are many factors, such as national macro-control of the steel industry, the rising price of iron freight and policies of export tax refund, all of which will have a great influence on the national steel industry. So, what can we expect of the Chinese steel industry development in the future?

As far as Chinese steel industry is concerned, the year of 2005 is very crucial for its historical transition, because in this year, the output of Chinese steel production will reach 300 million tons or even more, which will be a great leap in China's history, and which also shows that from now on, we should carefully transfer our attention from the growth in quantity to the improvement of quality, to the optimization of structure and to a much more comprehensive, coordinative, and sustainable development.

After in-depth surveys of steel manufacturers, according to years of experienced research on steel industry, using quantitative and qualitative analysis, relating the changes concerning supply and demand, we made this report, which gives an overall summary of the development of Chinese steel industry in 2004. Through accurate data and comprehensive descriptions, we present you detailed analyses on issues facing Chinese steel industry in 2005, such as market circumstances, business operations, market for steel products and sustainable development. Then, with the combination of quantitative and qualitative analyses, we predicted the development of Chinese steel industry and provided reliable analyses, for companies to build their development strategy and to seize opportunities.

1 A brief summary of the Steel Industry   
1.1: Status and characteristics of the Steel Industry   
1.1.1 Status of the steel industry    
1.1.2 Characteristics of the steel industry 
1.2: The status quo and the development trend of world steel industry 
1.2.1 Evolution of world steel industry  
1.2.2 Characteristics of the latest development of world steel industry 
1.2.3 Analysis of world steel market in 2004      
1.2.4 Ten largest countries in steel production    
1.2.5 Name list of top ten steel manufacturers worldwide in 2004   
1.2.6 Development trend of world steel industry 
1.3: The status quo and development trend of Chinese steel industry 
1.3.1 Evolution of Chinese steel industry   
1.3.2 Characteristics of the development of Chinese steel industry   
1.3.3 Development trend of Chinese steel industry

2 An analysis of development environment for Chinese steel industry 
2.1: The influence of policy environment on domestic steel industry         
2.1.1 The WTO policy, a sharp decrease in steel tariff and the abolishment of import restrictions                                               
2.1.2 Structural adjustment of steel industry and avoidance of unreasoning investment and low-level repeated construction                    
2.1.3 Antidumping strategies and measures of steel industry             
2.1.4 The shrinking scope of policies on steel industry                  
2.2: The influence of economic environment on domestic steel industry       
2.2.1 The close linkage of the growth rate of GDP with the development of domestic steel industry                                                    
2.2.2 The influence of the development of upstream and downstream industries on domestic steel industry                                        
2.2.3 The influence of “Cycle of Adding Interest to Economy”on steel industry    
2.3: The influence of social environment on the development of steel industry 
2.3.1 The influence of economic globalization on the development of steel industry          
2.3.2 The influence of main resources (energy and raw material) on the development of steel industry                                     
2.3.3 The great demand for steel products in industrial sectors is the foundation of the development of steel industry                              
2.4: The influence of technical environment on the development of 
Steel industry

3 The operation of Chinese steel market in general 
3.1: An analysis of main economic indicators of the steel industry           
3.1.1 Analysis of average rate of profit                                 
3.1.2 Analysis of scale                                           
3.1.3 Analysis of concentration ratio                                 
3.1.4 Analysis of efficiency                                      
3.1.5 Analysis of profit-making ability                         
3.1.6 Analysis of operation ability                            
3.1.7 Analysis of debt paying ability                               
3.1.8 Analysis of sustainable development ability                    
3.1.9 Analysis of the structure of cost                        
3.2: A view of overall steel production                              
3.2.1 The output of Chinese key steel enterprises, 2004-2005        
3.2.2 The statistics on the output of main metallurgy products in 2005 
3.2.3 The output of coke of Chinese steel enterprises, 2004-2005     
3.2.4 The statistics on the output of iron ore in each province in 2005 
3.2.5 The output of hot-rolled steel strips in each province and autonomous region, 2004-2005                                                             
3.2.6 The output of cold-rolled steel strips in each province and autonomous region    
3.2.7 The output of medium steel plates and wide strips in each province and autonomous region    
3.2.8 The output of electrical steel plate in each province and autonomous region     
3.2.9 The output of seamless steel pipe in each province and autonomous region    
3.2.10 The output of welded steel pipe in each province and autonomous region  
3.2.11 The output of medium steel plate in each province and autonomous region   
3.2.12 The output of super-thick steel plate in each province and autonomous region         
3.2.13 The output of reinforcing steel bar in each province and autonomous region 
3.2.14 The output of wire rods in each province and autonomous region        
3.2.15 The output of heavy rail in each province and autonomous region      
3.2.16 The output of light rail in each province and autonomous region      
3.2.17 The output of ordinary large steel products in each province and autonomous region 
3.2.18 The chart of daily output of steel products, 2004-2005               
3.2.19 The output of the top fifteen Chinese steel enterprises in 2004 
3.3: A view of overall sales 
3.3.1 An general description of sales                                       
3.3.2 The mode of sales                                                     
3.3.3 The main tendency                                                     
3.4: Price trends in general                                                
3.4.1 A comparison of the general price of international and domestic steel market in 2004  
3.4.2 The general trend of steel price in 2004-2005                     
3.4.3 A review and analysis of steel prices of domestic market in the past three years     
3.4.4 A comparison of steel prices of domestic market in 2004 and in 2005   
3.5 A general description of import and export                           
3.5.1 The structure of the import and export of steel and billet in 2004 
3.5.2 The imports and exports of the main kinds of steel                      
3.5.3 The exports of the main kinds of steel                               
3.6: The stocks of the main steel products                               
3.7: The analytical evaluation of the latest developments of the steel industry 
3.7.1 Operation of the steel industry                                 
3.7.2 Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats (SWOT) of the steel industry 
3.7.3 Indicators of economic operation of the steel industry
             
4 The supply and demand of Chinese steel market    
4.1: Analysis of supply and demand of domestic steel market in 2004  
4.1.1 An unexpected increase of the demand for steel consumption      
4.1.2 An surplus increase of the import of resources                 
4.1.3 The stead growth of domestic resources                         
4.1.4 The leading role of steel for building in the structure of the kinds of domestic steel production                                       
4.1.5 A well-balanced supply and demand, the rate of steel production and sale being the best and higher that of other industrial products in recent years                           
4.1.6 A reasonable capacity of supply and demand of domestic steel market 
4.1.7 The increasing production of crude steel worldwide, the influence of China's demand for steel on the international steel market 
4.1.8 The supply and demand of the main kinds of steel                
4.2 Scale of each kind of key steel products        
4.2.1 Scale of Chinese steel market                               
4.2.2 Scale of steel market of classified products               
4.2.3 Analysis of concentration ratio of domestic steel market          
4.3 Chinese supply and demand of iron ore                           
4.3.1 A brief summary of production and regional layout of iron ore 
4.3.2 The Chinese supply and demand of iron ore                     
4.3.3 The global supply and demand of iron ore                      
4.4.The gap between supply and demand, the recycling of scrap steel      
4.5 A brief summary of the imports and exports of steel products        
4.5.1 The total volume of Chinese imports and exports of steel products 
4.5.2 The kinds of Chinese imports and exports of steel products         
4.5.3 The prices of Chinese imports and exports of steel products     
4.5.4 The main countries of Chinese import of steel products 
     
5 Analysis of Chinese market of iron ore                   
5.1 Analysis of the demand for iron ore                             
5.1.1 A comparative analysis of the output of Chinese steel production since 2000 
5.1.2 An increase in Chinese steel production resulting in the demand for iron ore and rapid development of steel products imported                     
5.1.3 Analysis of global maritime trade of iron ore                 
5.1.4 Analysis of the historical factors that lead to the increase in Chinese steel production                                                        
5.1.5 The short-term upsurge of demand for steel and iron ore can not maintain its momentum
5.1.6 Chinese demand for iron ore in the next two years enters into a period of short-term adjustment                                                  
5.2 Analysis of the supply of iron ore                             
5.2.1 National supply of iron ore is increasingly dependent on importation  
5.2.2 The large shortage of supply in China's eastern areas to be met more and more by importation                                                        
5.2.3 Analysis of global suppliers of iron ore                      
5.2.4 Analysis of global maritime trade of iron ore                 
5.2.5 International supplying system of iron ore                    
5.2.6 China's main suppliers of iron ore                                
5.2.7 Prediction of global maritime trade of iron ore in mid-long range
5.2.8 Analysis of domestic production of iron ore in next ten years 
5.3: Analysis of prices of iron ore                                  
5.3.1 Differences between the pricing system and its price of iron ore 
5.3.2 Analysis of the main reasons for the increasing price of iron ore 
5.3.3 The three international giants in steel industry raise the rate of off-bank price in 2005                                                            
5.3.4 The medium-and-long term prediction of price of iron ore
          
6 Analysis of competition environment of the steel industry 
6.1 Threats of upriver supplying sectors to the steel industry      
6.1.1 Chinese reserves of iron ore and its supplying ability        
6.1.2 Iron ore in short supply can only be met by importation       
6.1.3 The influence of the trend of iron ore in 2005 on the price of steel products 
6.1.4 Scarcity of scrap steel                     
6.1.5 Threats of coke market                                    
6.1.6 Insufficient supply of electric power                     
6.1.7 Steady supply of coke and the increase of stocks          
6.2 Threats of purchaser to the steel manufacturer                   
6.2.1 The narrowing bargain price of automobile industry and the pressure of the rising price imputed to consumer                                 
6.2.2 The development of value affiliated of the steel manufacturer, the development of its distribution network and the capability of in-depth processing                              
6.3 Possibility of potential accession   
6.3.1 The high profits make the accession to the steel industry possible   
6.3.2 The vallum of accession to the steel industry (scale, technology, capital and policy) 
6.3.3 Nippon Steel Corporation being the competitor in Chinese market of auto armor plate 
6.4 Possibility of replacement                                         
6.4.1 Superfluous cold rolled steel products and the development of hot-rolled steel products                                                   
6.4.2 The rising price of nickel, the stainless steel of chrome instead of nickel 
6.5 Analysis of internal competition of the steel industry              
6.5.1 Competition in resources                                        
6.5.2 Competition in market                                          
6.5.3 Competition in production capacity (the ratio of concentration) 
6.5.4 A current description of the reform of the steel industry and an analysis of its trend 
 
7 Analysis of business operation of the key steel enterprises
7.1 Analysis of the top ten national steel enterprises
7.1.1 The status of top ten enterprises in steel industry
7.1.2 A comparison of return on assets of the top ten steel enterprises
7.1.3 The operation on assets and debt paying ability of the top ten steel enterprises 
7.2 A comparison of the advantages and disadvantages of key steel enterprises
7.2.1 A comparison of the supply of raw materials of key steel enterprises
7.2.2 A comparison of the market share and effective distribution of major steel enterprises
7.2.3 A comparison of costs of production of key steel enterprises 
7.2.4 A comparison of domestic consumer market of key steel enterprises
7.2.5 A comparison of the structure the supplying places of key steel enterprises
7.2.6 A comparison of the structure of products and technical designing advantages of key steel enterprises
7.3 A brief summary of national steel enterprises in stock market

8 Analysis of the factors that influence the profitability of steel industry
8.1 Analysis of the factors that influence profit-making capability of steel industry
8.1.1 The economic growth 
8.1.2 Raw materials, energy, transportation and the prices of iron and steel
8.1.3 Level of technology
8.1.4 Demand for steel products in the future
8.2 Prediction of fluctuation of key driving factors
8.2.1 The economic growth and the economic period
8.2.2 The price of iron and steel
8.2.3 Technical advancement
8.2.4 Analysis of the domestic demand for steel in the next few years

9 Investment analysis of iron and steel industry
9.1 Analysis of investment value of iron and steel industry
9.1.1 The leading role of iron and steel industry in 21st century
9.1.2 analysis of reasons for recent rising price of listed steel companies
9.2 Patterns of investment and capital circulation of iron and steel industry
9.2.1 Patterns and channels of enterprises' capital circulation
9.2.2 General cost of various models of Capital Circulation 
9.2.3 Steel enterprises' demand for financial sectors
9.2.4 Choosing appropriate investment projects and forms 
9.2.5 Reasonable patterns of capital circulation after careful consideration
9.2.6 Listing capital circulation
9.2.7 Capital circulation of corporate bonds
9.2.8 Main steel products to be supported by commercial banks
9.3 Investment risk of Chinese iron and steel Industry nowadays
9.3.1 Risks brought by market
9.3.2 Risks brought by new project
9.3.3 Risks brought by tariff concession
9.3.4 Risks brought by the supply of resources
9.3.5 Risks brought by transportation power tension
9.3.6 Risks brought by pressure of environmental protection
9.3.7 Risks brought by some downstream industrial foam
9.3.8 Risks brought by policy
9.3.9 The increasing cost of raw materials of steel manufacturers
9.4 Investment intention and ways of iron and steel industry
9.5 Investment and development tendency of iron and steel industry
9.6 Analysis of investment prospects for industries
9.6.1 Rises in the rate of deposit reserve: obvious influence on investment-oriented industries
9.6.2 Expectation of the rate of export tax refund: obvious influence on export-oriented industry
9.6.3 Analysis of investment prospects fro iron and steel industry

10 Marketing strategies of steel enterprises
10.1 Adaptation to market and enhancement of market share
10.1.1 The making-up of marketing plans, active accession to market and the enhancement of market share
10.1.2 Developing regional market
10.1.3 Development and cultivation of reliable customers
10.1.4 Developing potential market based on steady growth of real market
10.1.5 In the stage of market economy, the market composed of manufacturers, customers and competitors instead of only manufacturers and customers
10.2 Improvement of marketing management being the effective approach to increase economic returns
10.3 Marketing strategies of steel enterprises
10.3.1 Characteristics of marketing strategy
10.3.2 Main points of marketing strategy of domestic steel enterprises
10.3.3 Optional marketing strategies in case of a fall in price of steel market

11 Suggestion for improving competitiveness of steel enterprises
11.1 Desired assets reorganization to strengthen international competitiveness of steel enterprises
11.1.1 Analysis of difficult problems
11.1.2 Two misunderstandings of the reorganization of steel enterprises
11.1.3 Several solutions
11.2 Deepening reform of ownership of steel enterprises to strengthen its competitiveness
11.3 Technical transformation and new technology application of steel industry
11.3.1 Popularization and application of Information technology
11.3.2 Research and development of advanced technology of industrial application to strengthen the key parts of steel industry
11.3.3 Research and development of leading products and technical updating of equipment to emphasize the key point of steel industry 

12 Prediction of Development tendency of steel industry
12.1 Prediction of international iron and steel market in 2005
12.1.1 Prediction of global consumption of steel products
12.1.2 Other Asian areas
12.1.3 Fifteen countries of European Union
12.1.4 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)
12.1.5 North America Free Trade Area (NAFTA)
12.1.6 Countries of South America
12.1.7 Areas in the Middle East and Africa
12.2 Analysis of overall development tendency of Chinese steel industry
12.2.1 Obvious effect of domestic demand in steel consumption
12.2.2 Momentum of rapid growth of iron and steel enterprises
12.2.3 WTO accession lowers restrictions on import of overseas steel products
12.2.4 Limited stimulation of success of Olympic bidding to steel consumption
12.3 Prediction of prospects of iron and steel industry in 2005
12.3.1 Demand forecast of market
12.3.2 Prediction of price tendency of steel market
12.3.3 Rapid structural adjustment of demand of main steel products
12.3.4 Prediction of tendency of iron and steel industry
12.4 Prediction of steel market in 2005
12.4.1 Prediction of production capacity of Chinese iron and steel industry in 2005
12.4.2 Prediction of imports of exports of steel products
12.4.3 Prediction of prices of steel products
12.4.4 Prediction of sales revenue and total profit of steel industry 
12.5 Prediction of price tendency of steel products in the latter part of 2005 
12.5.1 The high price of iron and steel in its historical development, and appropriate measures to bring the high price down
12.5.2 Extension of value-added chains iron and steel enterprises, development of its own distribution network, in-depth processing and Logistics itself
12.5.3 A reasonable fall in price of steel products according to demand and supply, cost, and stocks 
12.5.4 View on the tendency of domestic and overseas economic growth 
12.6 Prediction of China's demand of steel products
12.6.1 Macro-prediction of total consumption of steel products from 2005-2010
12.6.2 Micro-prediction of total consumption of steel products from 2005-2010
12.6.3 Conclusions drawn from prediction
12.7 Prediction of the influence of upstream and downstream industries on iron and steel industry
12.7.1 Demand forecast of iron ore market in 2005
12.7.2 Development tendency of Coke market in 2005
12.7.3 Analysis and prediction of Chinese consumption of main steel products in 2005
12.8 Prediction of China's iron and steel production capacity
12.8.1 Research on scale of domestic construction projects of iron making from 2005-2010
12.8.2 Research on scale of domestic construction projects of steel making from 2005-2010
12.8.3 Average scale of iron making and steel making in 2005
12.8.4 Analysis of domestic production of plate and strip from 2005-2010
12.9 Prediction of demand of iron ore in 2005
12.9.1 Demand forecast of Chinese demand of iron ore
12.9.2 Prediction of the volume of imported iron ore
12.9.3 The influence of importation of iron ore on market
12.10 Analysis and prediction of the situation of iron and steel market in 2005
12.10.1 Driving force of four advantages
12.10.2 Unneglectable restrictive factors
12.11 Development tendency of steel making technology
12.12 Opportunities and challenges of Chinese steel industry and its market 
12.13 Major problems up against iron and steel industry and suggestions for solution
12.13.1 Main problems
12.13.2 Suggestion for macro-control measures of Chinese steel industry
The tabulated quotations of domestic market of raw materials in key areas
Prediction of the global steel consumption by the International Steel Association 
The ratio of steel consumption of eight industries in total consumption
The top ten steel enterprises in profitability, mid-2004
The demand forecast of kinds of special and first-rate steel.
A comparison o price indexes home and abroad since 2004
Statistics on imports and exports of ferroalloy in 2004 
The demand forecast of major special steels in 2004
Import statistics of stainless steel in the first half of 2004
Hot-rolled ordinary steel sheet in 2004:the volume of imported ordinary sheet  
A comparison of the growth of global steel production and consumption
The apparent global consumption statistics of finished steel
The total output of crude steel in 2004
Domestic steel production and consumption of steel products in 2004
The comparison of growth of domestic steel production with its apparent consumption
The price tendency of the major steel products in domestic market in 2004
he price index of steel in domestic market in 2004
The amounts of silicon-manganese alloy exported in different means
The output of ferroalloy in 2004
The volume of monthly import of silicon-manganese and medium/low Ferro chromium
The output of ferroalloy in each province in 2004
The comparison of the profit increase between steel industry and other industries in 2004
Average earnings per share of listed steel companies in different periods in 2004
The seasonal average revenues of the listed steel companies in 2004
The total profit of the steel industry in 2004
The structural illustration of the import of steel products in 2004
The structural illustration of the export of steel products in 2004
The profit variations of the big-and-medium sized enterprises in 2004
CRU international price index of steel products in 2004
The total sales volumes and profits of 13 big steel companies in 2004
The outputs of major steel-consuming products from January to December in 2004
The statistics on imports and exports of ferroalloy products and its raw materials from January to December in 2004
The statistics of imports of ferroalloy products from January to December in 2004
The statistics on exports of ferroalloy products from January to December in 2004
The price index of steel in the intermediate link from January to December in 2004 
Accumulated output of steel products from January to December in 2004
Newly added resources of steel products from January to December in 2004
The import of the iron and steel products from January to December in 2004
The export of the iron and steel products from January to December in 2004
Comparison of the output variations of the major enterprises, 2003- 2004
The volume of import of medium plates and strips, 2003 - 2004
Cold, hot-rolled ordinary sheet: the volume of import of ordinary strips
The tendency of the price of wire rods in the international market, 2003- 2004
The tendency of the price of hot-rolled steel plates (rolls) in international market, 2003-2004
The tendency of the price of deformed steel products in international market, 2003-2004
The tendency of the price of cold-rolled steel plates (rolls) in international market, 2003-2004
The comparison of the global output and consumption of iron and steel, 2003-2004
The comparison of the domestic steel output and the apparent consumption, 2003-20044
The comparison of the overall growth rate of the listed steel companies in 2003 and 2004 
The tendency of the price of the medium plate, 2002-2004
The tendency of the price of the wire rod, 2002- 2004
The imports and exports tendency of the major iron and steel products, 2002-2004
The tendency of the price of hot-rolled steel plate, 2002-2004
The tendency of the price of deformed steel products, 2002-2004
The tendency of the price of cold-rolled steel plate, 2002- 2004
The tendency of price index of steel products in international and domestic market, 2001-2004
The income from the main businesses of the listed steel companies, 2001 - 2004
The demand of steel from eight industries, 1998 -2010
The forecast demand of steel products from six major home appliances in 2005
The prediction of major steel products consumption in 2005
The prediction of demand for steel from different small electric appliances in 2005
Supply and demand pattern of steel plate in 2005
The production capacity of the hot-rolled H shape steel in 2005
The prediction of the steel consumption of cars from 2005-2010
The prediction of the U-shape steel from 2005-2010
The prediction of consumption of different U-Shape steel products from 2005-2010
The steel consumption of cars from 2005-2010
The steel demand from the car accessory and spare parts from 2005-2010
The consumption of the steels from the car industry from 2005-2010
The prediction of the demand from the home appliances industry from 2005-2010
The prediction of the domestic steel production and consumption in 2005
The prediction of consumption of different products from the eight major industries in 2005
The prediction of the demand for steels from the eight major industries from 2005-2010


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