China Guarantee Industry Investments and Market Outlook to 2011
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China guarantee industry is developing rapidly. As of the end of 2008, there had been 4,247 credit guarantee agencies serving small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in China; the total amount of guarantee for SMEs’ loans had reached RMB1.75 trillion, involving 907,000 companies. By the end of 2009, it’s estimated that there had been over 4,800 credit guarantee agencies serving SMEs in China, providing total guarantee amount of RMB2.6 trillion for 1.15 million enterprises (times).

Because of the increasingly fierce market competition and higher industry threshold, the number of guarantee agencies will grow at a slower pace, to 5,343 in 2011.

Quantity of Chinese Guarantee Agencies, 2005-2011
 2010052801.gif
Source: ResearchInChina

Beijing has been engaged in the guarantee industry earlier than other regions, with healthier market operations and higher development speed. In 2009, the registered capital of guarantee agencies in Beijing reached RMB25.305 billion, up 32.92% year-on-year; the guarantee business revenue was RMB1.73 billion, over doubled the year of 2008. With an accumulative compensation rate of 1.04%, and a cumulative compensation loss rate of 1.89‰, Beijing controlled risks better than other areas.

Beijing’s Top 10 Guarantee Agencies by Total Amount of Guarantee, 2009

担保-2010.gif

Source: Beijing Credit Guarantee Association

In March 2010, China Banking Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce, People’s Bank of China, and State Administration for Industry & Commerce jointly issued Interim Management Measures for Financing Guarantee Companies (hereinafter the Measures) with approval of the State Council. The Measures stipulates that a financing guarantee company shall have a registered capital of not less than RMB5 million, or otherwise shall not be allowed into the industry.

The launch of the Measures shows that China guarantee industry will be regulated by law, and the government will tend to encourage large guarantee companies and consolidate small ones.

1. China Guarantee Industry Overview
1.1 Scope of Guarantee Industry
1.1.1 Definition
1.1.2 Classification
1.2 Features of Guarantee Industry
1.3 Development Course of China Guarantee Industry
1.4 Status of Guarantee Industry in National Economy

2. Development Environment and Outlook for China Guarantee Industry
2.1 Macro-Economic Development Environment and Outlook
2.1.1 Fixed Assets Investment
2.1.2 National Income Level
2.1.3 GDP
2.1.4 Exchange Rate
2.1.5 Deposit and Lending Interest Rates 
2.2 Policy Environment for China Guarantee Industry

3. Market Status and Outlook for China Guarantee Industry
3.1 Guarantee Agencies
3.1.1 Quantity
3.1.2 Types
3.1.3 Profitability
3.1.4 Capital Position
3.2 Market
3.2.1 Business
3.2.2 Demand
3.3 Forecast for Market Development Trend

4.Regional Guarantee Markets and Forecast
4.1 Beijing
4.2 Shanghai
4.3 Guangdong
4.4 Zhejiang

5. Key Guarantee Agencies in China 
5.1 China National Investment & Guaranty Co., Ltd.
5.1.1 Profile
5.1.2 Operation
5.2 Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd
5.2.1 Profile
5.2.2 Operation
5.3 Zhongtou Credit Guarantee Co., Ltd
5.3.1 Profile
5.3.2 Operation
5.4 Beijing Capital Guarantee & Investment Co., Ltd
5.4.1 Profile
5.4.2 Operation
5.5 Credit Orienwise Group Ltd.
5.5.1 Profile
5.5.2 Operation
5.6 Uni-Power Guaranty
5.7 Guangdong Yinda Guaranty Investment Group Co., Ltd
5.7.1 Profile
5.7.2 Operation
5.8 Guangdong Join-Share Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd
5.8.1 Profile
5.8.2 Operation
5.9 Chengdu Small & Medium Enterprise Credit Guarantee Co., Ltd
5.10 Shenzhen Small & Medium Enterprises Credit Guarantee Center Co., Ltd
5.10.1 Profile
5.10.2 Operation
5.11 Suzhou Guofa Small & Medium Enterprise Guarantee and Investment Co., Ltd.

6. Market Competition and Forecast of China Guarantee Industry
6.1 International Guarantee Industry
6.1.1 USA
6.1.2 Europe
6.1.3 Japan
6.2 Lifecycle of China Guarantee Industry
6.3 Profit Sources of China Guarantee Industry
6.4 Competition in China Guarantee Industry
6.5 Development Trends of China Guarantee Industry

7. Risk Analysis and Forecast of China Guarantee Industry
7.1 Risk Analysis of Guarantee Agencies
7.2 Risk Evaluation
7.3 Risks
7.3.1 Macro Economy Risk
7.3.2 Policy Risk
7.3.3 Credit Risk
7.3.4 Operation Risk
7.3.5 Liquidity Risk

8. Proposals on Investment in China Guarantee Industry
8.1 Investment Opportunities
8.2 Recommendations on Risk Prevention
8.3 Proposals on Investment
Five Guarantee Forms Stipulated by China's Guarantee Law
Classification of China Guarantee Industry
Features of Guarantee Industry
China’s Overall Investment in Fixed Assets, 2007-2010
National Income Level of China, 2007-2010
China’s GDP Trends, 2007-2010
Change of RMB Exchange Rate, 2007-2010
Benchmark Deposit and Lending Interest Rates in China, 2007-2009
Adjustment of Deposit Reserve Ratio in China, 2008-2010
Adjustment of Deposit Reserve Ratio in China, 2008-2009
Laws and Regulations for China Guarantee Industry
Quantity of Chinese Guarantee Agencies, 2005-2011
Quantity of Chinese Guarantee Agencies Funded by Various Investors, 2005-2008 
Quantity Proportion of Chinese Guarantee Agencies Funded by Various Investors, 2005-2008
Operating Revenue and Growth Rate of Chinese Guarantee Agencies, 2005-2008
Revenue Ratios of Three Main Businesses of Guarantee Agencies, 2006-2008
Amount and Growth Rate of Guarantee Capital Raised by Chinese Guarantee Agencies, 2005-2008
Proportion of Guarantee Capital Raised by Chinese Guarantee Agencies Funded by Government & Private Sectors, 2005-2008
Growth Rate of Guarantee Capital Raised by Chinese Guarantee Agencies by Source of Capital Contribution, 2005-2008
Accumulative Quantity of Guaranteed Enterprises by Chinese Guarantee Agencies, 2005-2011E
Amount and Growth Rate of Guarantee Capital of Chinese Guarantee Agencies, 2005-2011
Overview of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises in Key Provinces of China
Four Categories of Engineering Guarantee
Beijing Guarantee Agencies Providing Large Amount of Engineering Guarantee, 2009
China Rail & Highway Mileage, 2005-2009
China Real Estate Price Index, 2007-2010
Monthly Growth Rate of House Prices in China’s 70 Big & Medium Cities, 2009
Beijing’s Top 19 Guarantee Agencies by Total Guarantees, 2009
Solvency of Industrial Company above Designated Size in Guangdong, 2008
Financing Structure of Private Enterprises in Guangdong Province, 2009
Agencies above RMB50 billion of Guarantee in China, 2009
Credit and Guarantee Business of China National Investment & Guaranty Co., Ltd
New Guarantee of China National Investment & Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2007-2009
Operation of China National Investment & Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2009
Implementation of Major Special Financing Guarantee Preferential Policies
Guarantee Scale and Growth Rate of Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2002-2009
Number of Enterprises Served by Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2002-2009
Revenue and Growth Rate of Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2002-2009
Net Profit and Growth Rate of Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2002-2009
Distribution of Clients of Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd by Industry, 2009
Accumulative Reserve Fund Withdrawal of Beijing Zhongguancun Sci-tech Guaranty Co., Ltd., 2002-2009
Operation of Zhongtou Credit Guarantee Co., Ltd, 2009 
Core Competitiveness of Beijing Capital Guarantee & Investment Co., Ltd
Guarantee Capital of Beijing Capital Guarantee & Investment Co., Ltd., 1998-2009
Operation of Beijing Capital Guarantee & Investment Co., Ltd, 2009
Products and Services of Credit Orienwise Group Ltd.
Strategic Investors of Credit Orienwise Group Ltd.
Guarantee Products of Uni-Power Guaranty
Selected Clients of Uni-Power Guaranty
Operation of Uni-Power Guaranty, 2007-2009
Main Business of Guangdong Yinda Guaranty Investment Group Co., Ltd
Main Business of Guangdong Join-Share Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd
Capital Fund of Chengdu Small & Medium Enterprise Credit Guarantee Co., Ltd, 1999-2011
Total Occurrence Amount of Guarantee of Chengdu Small & Medium Enterprise Credit Guarantee Co., Ltd, 1999-2011
Main Business of Shenzhen Small & Medium Enterprises Credit Guarantee Center Co., Ltd
Lifecycle of Guarantee Industry
Revenue Sources of Commercial Guarantee Company
Revenue Sources of Some Chinese Guarantee Companies
Deficiencies of Competition of Guarantee Institutions in Cooperation with Banks
Competitiveness of Domestic and Foreign-funded Guarantee Companies
Three Major Risks of Guarantee Business

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