This
master report summarising and forecasting every sector of the EV industry
remains unique. It adds new sectors as they become substantial, the latest being
car-like microEVs homologated as quadricycles in Europe.
In
the last year it has become a more closely integrated market - pure electric and
hybrid whether on land, water or airborne. For example, Nissan has launched
hybrid cars selling in tens of thousands yearly. The e-bike company Brammo took
orders for 4,000 of its $20,000 record-breaking e-motorbike on its launch in the
USA. Previously, e-motorbikes have been merely a curiosity.
Many
profitable niches are emerging just as the largest major sectors are changing in
importance; the industrial and commercial sector is now bigger and much more
profitable than e-cars, and is set to remain so for at least eight more
years.
All
components are changing with supercapacitors sometimes replacing or partly
replacing batteries and also new types of battery, energy harvesting, power
electronics and structure powering growth in this already huge and prosperous
business. It is comprehensively forecasted only in this master report and the
subsidiary reports on the segments. Disruptive change is now the norm and
Apple-like inspiration and technological innovation is at last being seen.
The
fruits of all this are truly spectacular; including such things as the Marian
fast surface boat that acts as a submarine when necessary, the fixed-wing plane
that will stay aloft for five years on sunshine and the flying jet ski. An
amphibious hybrid plane is also going into production with military robot
jellyfish, bats and swarming flies. The race is on to make extremely short
take-off and landing (ESTL) personal planes and air taxis, some that take-off
and land vertically in your garden or from the "pocket airport" on top of a
regular airport building.
This
report gives the unit numbers, average vehicle prices, and total value for ten
years for the following vehicle types:
This
report is uniquely comprehensive in applicational and geographical spread.
Primarily it presents statistics and forecasts including back up data such as
conventional vehicle sales and market drivers. There is even comparative data
such as statistics and forecasts by other analysts and by regional trade
associations. There is some coverage of technology trends and considerable
tabulation of manufacturers and by type of vehicle made and which are world
leaders in value sales and why. There is little anecdotal text and information
already available on the web, the illustrations and tables being largely
original and deriving from IDTechEx analysis and private sources as well as
extensive interviews.
All
report purchases include up to 30 minutes telephone time with an expert analyst
who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're
addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.
Further information
1.1. Forecast assumptions and market drivers by
category of hybrid and pure electric EV 2015-2025
1.2. Numbers of electric vehicles, in thousands,
sold globally, 2015-2025, by applicational sector
1.3. Ex-factory unit price of EVs, in thousands of
US dollars, sold globally, 2015-2025, by applicational sector, rounded
1.4. Ex-factory value of EVs, in billions of US
dollars, sold globally, 2015-2025, by applicational sector, rounded
1.5. Numbers of EVs, in thousands, sold globally,
2015-2025 by applicational sector
1.6. Number of hybrid vehicles sold globally (in
thousands), this being approximately equal to the number of range extender sets
in later years
1.7. Number of hybrid vehicles sold globally (in
thousands), this being approximately equal to the number of range extender sets
in later years
1.8. Range extender numbers (thousand), unit price
(US$) and market value (US$ million) 2015-2025
1.9. Electric motor-generator sets and traction
motors alone when they also act as generators market value $ billion paid by
vehicle manufacturer 2014-2025
1.10. EV profitability by sector
1.11. Top 13 manufacturers of electric vehicles in
2014 showing rounded gross sales value of EVs ex factory by segment, % market
share and trend of position. For 2013, first division in red, second division in
blue and third division in
1.12. Approximate number of manufacturers of
electric vehicles worldwide in 2014 by application with numbers for China
1.13. Main market drivers
1.14. Monthly US electric vehicle sales for January
to October2013 according to trade association EDTA
1.15. The value of the electric vehicle market by
territory East Asia, Europe, North America, Other 2015 and 2025 percentage
1.16. NEV output in China for 2011 and 2012
including exports
2.1. 143 manufacturers and putative manufacturers of
lithium-based rechargeable batteries with country, cathode and anode chemistry,
electrolyte morphology, case type, applicational priorities and customer
relationships, if any, in sel
2.2. Energy, number of riders and energy per 100
kilometers per person for different on-road travel options
2.3. Global automotive production by country 2013
3.1. 27 examples of manufacturers of heavy
industrial EVs by country
3.2. Percentage split of global manufacture of heavy
industrial trucks
3.3. Conventional car with 48 V electric torque
assist as a new powertrain option shown yellow in powertrain options
4.1. 150 manufacturers of light industrial and
commercial EVs and drive trains by country and examples of their products
5.1. Statistics relevant to the challenge to society
caused by ageing population
5.2. Features of mobility vehicles that may hold up
the price by offering more in future
5.3. The percentage distribution of manufacture
between Taiwan and Mainland China by value of vehicles for the disabled 2005,
2010 and 2015
5.4. 83 examples of manufacturers of EVs for the
disabled by country
6.1. Prices and performance of electric two wheelers
6.2. 105 examples of manufacturers of electric
motorcycles, two wheel EVs and electric quad bikes
6.3. Largest suppliers of electric bicycles by
number (not in order)
6.4. 34 sources of two wheelers in China by brand,
region and battery chemistry
6.5. Listing of light electric scooter makers in
China. Most use lead-acid battery chemistry but there is a move to lithium-ion
batteries
7.1. 85 examples of car and microEV manufacturers
beyond golf car, by country
7.2. 19 examples of golf EV manufacturers
8.1. The top electric vehicles manufacturers by ex
factory gross sales value taken from the IDTechEx Electric Vehicle Market Portal
(figures in US$ billion 2014)
8.2. Battery collaborations of selected companies
8.3. Examples of traditional limitations and market
trends by type of basic design of traction motor Those used mainly on large
vehicles but are also seen in cars shown in green. Those on smaller vehicles and
high performance vehicles
9.1. Data for RQ-11A version of AeroVironment Raven
9.2. 27 suppliers of military EVs
10.1. 44 examples of manufacturers of EV electric
water craft
10.2. Leading manufacturers of remotely operated and
autonomous underwater vehicles for sale
10.3. Indicative prices for marine EVs in 2013
11.1. 36 examples of manufacturers of mobile robots,
toy, leisure, research or hobbyist EVs by country and product
1.1. Numbers of EVs, in thousands, sold globally,
2015-2025, by applicational sector
1.2. Ex-factory unit price of EVs, in thousands of
US dollars, sold globally, 2015-2025, by applicational sector, rounded
1.3. Ex-factory value of EVs, in billions of US
dollars, sold globally, 2015-2025 by applicational sector, rounded
1.4. Ex-factory value of EVs, in 2015, percentage by
applicational sector
1.5. Ex-factory value of EVs, in 2025, percentage by
applicational sector
1.6. Range extender numbers (thousand) 2015-2025
1.7. Range extender unit price (US$) 2015-2025
1.8. Range extender market value (US$ million)
2015-2025
1.9. Electric motor-generator sets and traction
motors alone when they also act as generators market value $ billion paid by
vehicle manufacturer 2014-2025
1.10. Basic schematic of pure EV power train
1.11. Size of vehicle, broadly indicated by price
and battery kWh, related to when up-front cost becomes competitive with a
conventional version
1.12. SMEs have more opportunity
1.13. The various types of car, the precise
definitions, regulations and user preferences varying greatly between countries
1.14. kWh per passenger for conventional or electric
on-road vehicles related to type of vehicle and showing cars to be uniquely
inefficient
1.15. The Daimler Smart, left, is a mainstream car
subject to tax, insurance, crash tests etc whereas the G-Whiz from India, right,
is registered as a quadricycle and was the best-selling pure electric car in the
UK for ten years with s
1.16. Renault Twizy quadricycle which is selling
over ten thousand within two years from launch. The standard model has no
windows
1.17. Chinese micro-EV cars in China. Most of them
have three wheels
1.18. Cumulative and monthly plug-in on-road vehicle
sales in the USA through 2013 according to trade association EDTA
1.19. The tiny sales of pure electric on-road
vehicle sales in Europe showing carrier goods EVs/ light industrial and
commercial vehicles outselling pure electric passenger EVs, according to trade
association AVERE
1.20. Adoption of different car power trains past
and present
1.21. Distribution of electric vehicles in
circulation according to model to end of 2012
1.22. Number of electric 4-wheelers in Europe
1.23. Number of electric 2-wheelers in Europe
1.24. Unit sales in China 2008-2012: total autos,
total passenger cars and buses and BEV and HEV/PHEV
1.25. Monthly new PHEV and AEV sales by model to
August 2014
1.26. Yearly new HEV sales by model to August 2014
1.27. Electric Drive Vehicle Share of new vehicle
sales to August 2014
1.28. Monthly new EDV sales and gasoline prices to
December 2014
1.29. Brammo high performance motorbike
1.30. Apple-like innovation for the disabled-
Omnichair
1.31. Mining vehicles for open mines (over 90% of
all mines) will no longer have 2-3 MW diesel mega-trucks climbing the sides but
electric mega-trucks at top and bottom
1.32. New vehicles with asynchronous traction motors
1.33. Electric cars are mainly series parallel
hybrid today with two motors but otherwise very different, this Mitsubishi being
very different in all other respects from market leader the Toyota Prius
1.34. Work on using pure electric and plug in hybrid
small vehicles as farming power supplies
1.35. GaN inverter and components for EVs exhibited
in Osaka Japan by GaN Systems of Canada September2014
1.36. BMW i8 hybrid car with three-cylinder range
extender and gull wing doors launched 2013, deliveries 2015
1.37. The dream of photovoltaics in fields and
Building Integrated Photovoltaics BIPV powering EVs
2.1. Electric vehicle value chain
2.2. Energy per 100 kilometers per person for
different on-road travel options
2.3. Carbon Intensity CO2 kg/kWh and % Fossil fuel
in power sector
2.4. LCA greenhouse emissions of a compact car with
different drive trains
2.5. Carbon emissions, in grams CO2 per km, of a
selection of cars for sale in the UK
3.1. Caterpillar CAT series hybrid diesel electric
bulldozer
3.2. Mitsubishi diesel electric hybrid lifter
3.3. Top 20 industrial lift truck suppliers in 2013
3.4. Lift truck market demand in 2013
3.5. World industrial truck statistics/orders and
shipments
3.6. Survey of expected powertrains
4.1. Increase in urban delivery 2010-2025
4.2. Electric bus in Nepal
4.3. Mobile electric scissor lift by Wuhan Chancay
Machinery and Electronics
4.4. Garbage collecting electric car
5.1. Percentage of dependent elderly 1970 to 2040
5.2. New Pihsiang Shoprider pure electric mobility
vehicle for the disabled
5.3. The Electric Car (INEC-KARO) for the disabled
from Interchina Industry Group
6.1. Gasoline two wheelers G2W and electric two
wheelers E2W sales compared to passenger vehicles 1991-2006 in China
6.2. Suzuki Burgman Fuel Cell Scooter powered by
Intelligent Energy
6.3. e-bikes parked in Yangzhou China
6.4. Electric mopeds parked in Cheghdu China
6.5. World bicycle and automoblie production,
1950-2007
7.1. IMAs "Colibri" Micro EV presented at the Geneva
Motorshow
7.2. Car-like vehicles not homologated as cars, in
the context of two wheelers and Europe. Love them or hate them?
7.3. The Daimler Smart, left, is a mainstream car
subject to tax, insurance, crash tests etc whereas the G-Whiz from India, right,
is registered as a quadricycle and was the best-selling pure electric car in the
UK for ten years with s
7.4. Renault Twizy quadricycle which is selling over
ten thousand within two years from launch. The standard model has no windows
7.5. Chinese micro-EV cars in China. Most of them
have three wheels
7.6. Estrima Birò microEV and battery removal
7.7. E-trikes
8.1. Homologated on-road electric cars at the
awkward tipping point between pure electric and hybrid vehicles of other types
8.2. Primary electric traction motor criteria by
type of hybrid or pure electric vehicle showing cars needing to be "all things
to all men".
8.3. Technology: everything will change disruptively
8.4. Load-bearing supercapacitors as structural
components. Top left: Volvo experimental car trunk lid that is a supercapacitor.
Top right: Partner Imperial College London's supercapacitor textile being
developed for load bearing compo
8.5. Example of integrated components coming in
8.6. Examples of 2015 hybrid cars
8.7. Mazda pure electric car in production with
supercapacitor across battery (vertical device by nearside front wheel)
8.8. Toyota supercapacitor-only concept car and
precedents
9.1. Oshkosh truck
9.2. Grizzly robot electric vehicle for the military
9.3. SPI electrical SUAV
9.4. AeroVironment Raven
9.5. AeroVironment Aqua Puma UAV completes Royal
Australian Navy Sea trials in 2007
9.6. Aurora Flight Sciences solar plane that takes
off in parts and self-assembles at altitude
9.7. Large autonomous robot jellyfish
10.1. Hybrid tugboat
10.2. Engine room of the hybrid tugboat
10.3. Bratt electric tugboat
10.4. Electric deck boat by Leisure Life
10.5. Electric launch
10.6. Solar powered boats for tourism cruising at 12
kph on Lake Geneva
11.1. The Dyson robot vacuum cleaner
11.2. LawnBott