China Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry Report, 2017-2020
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Mar.2017
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The output of battery electric logistics vehicles didn’t see a significant year-on-year increase in the first half of 2016 due to the failure of electric special-purpose vehicles to be included in the promotion catalogue. As it approached the end of the year and the market expected the introduction of subsidy policy and catalogue, the electric logistics vehicle output soared to 15,500 units in November, raising the total output for the first eleven months to 26,300 units. New energy trucks/special-purpose vehicles were included in the Catalogue of Recommended Models for NEV Promotion and Application (the 4th batch) in early December, a centralized shipment in the month helped full-month electric logistics vehicle output hit 31,200 units.
There were a total of 28 orders signed or clear cooperation intentions in 2016, involving 194,000 electric logistics vehicles. Orders or cooperation intentions still present the features of express delivery, big rental orders-driven, and clear regionality. Full-year sales volume of electric logistics vehicles will be around 45,000 units, based on license-plate registration/sales in December.
A rise in sales of electric logistics vehicles may happen in the second quarter of 2017 or later, affected by factors as follows: 1) Local subsidies are still undecided; 2) Carmakers have not fixed the prices and are negotiating with upstream battery/motor companies after the subsidies for 2017 are cut. And it is expected that the electric logistics vehicles will be gradually launched into the market in the second quarter of 2017. Electric logistics vehicles will still be dominated by mini ones, typified by Dongfeng Junfeng and BAIC Weiwang usually with electricity of around 40KWH and a mileage of 150-200km.
Cost sharing among every link of the industry chain will be a crucial factor after subsidy reduction in 2017. Take electric logistics vehicle with electricity of 40KWH for example, central subsidies plus local subsidies dropped by RMB58,500 in 2017 compared with the 2016 level. Reduced subsidies will be absorbed within the industry chain: 1) a decline in the cost of car body because of an expansion in vehicle manufacturing scale; 2) the cost reduction arising from the expansion in production and sales of batteries and motors; 3) an improvement in the level of operation.
It is expected about 100,000 electric logistics vehicles will be sold in 2017. On one hand, the order backlog has extended to 2017; on the other hand, new subsidy policies are relatively friendly to electric logistics vehicles, and retail prices are expected to remain stable or rise in an affordable range.
The electrification of logistics vehicles will continue, from bus to truck, with annual sales reaching an estimated 400,000 units in 2020. 36% and 29% of total sales are the electric logistics vehicles replacing light trucks and minivans which will be the most important replacement markets. The two markets will have a stable customer base composed of van users in the middle and low-end market and logistics enterprises in the high-end market over the next year or two.
China Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry Report, 2017-2020 focuses on the following:
Development of new energy vehicles worldwide, including production and sales data in major NEV markets (U.S., Europe, etc.);
Development and trend forecast of new energy passenger car, bus, and logistics vehicle industries in China;
Battery electric logistics vehicles in China (development prospects, supportive elements, development factors and obstacles);
Policies on NEVs and battery electric logistics vehicles in China;
Battery electric logistics vehicles in China (output, sales, product mix, vehicle purchasing, operating costs, etc.);
Operation, capacity layout, and development strategy of 10 major Chinese battery electric logistics vehicle makers.
1. Overview of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle
1.1 Definition and Characteristics
1.1.1 Definition
1.1.2 Classification
1.1.3 Characteristics
1.1.4 Operating Principle
1.2 Target User
1.3 Industry Chain
2. Global and Chinese Electric Vehicle Market
2.1 Global
2.1.1 Overall
2.1.2 U.S.
2.1.3 Europe
2.1.4 Japan
2.2 China
2.2.1 NEV Output
2.2.2 NEV Sales
3. Background of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry
3.1 Development Direction of NEV
3.2 Supportive Factors
3.2.1 Rapid Development of Express Logistics Industry
3.2.2 Urban Pollution and Traffic Pressure
3.2.3 State Subsidies
3.3 Reasons for Rapid Development
3.3.1 Changes in Terminal Logistics Services
3.3.2 Urban Distribution Industry Pilot
3.3.3 Light Logistics and Home Delivery as the Largest Market
3.3.4 Timeshare Leasing
3.4 Obstacles to Rapid Development
4. Policies on Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle
4.1 Policies on Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle
4.1.1 National Policies on NEVs
4.1.2 National Policy System for Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle
4.1.3 Regional Policies and Development Planning
4.2 Catalogue of Models Exempt from Purchase Tax
5. Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry in China
5.1 Output
5.2 Sales
5.3 Product
5.4 Costs
6. Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Makers
6.1 Dongfeng Motor Corporation
6.1.1 Profile
6.1.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.1.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.1.4 Capacity Layout
6.1.5 Revenue
6.2 Chongqing Ruichi Automobile Industry Co., Ltd.
6.2.1 Profile
6.2.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Solutions
6.2.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.2.4 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.2.5 Capacity Layout
6.3 Shaanxi Tongjia Automobile Co., Ltd.
6.3.1 Profile
6.3.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Solutions
6.3.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.3.4 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.3.5 Capacity Layout
6.4 Chongqing Lifan Motors Co., Ltd.
6.4.1 Profile
6.4.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.4.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.4.4 Capacity Layout
6.5 Jiangsu AOXIN New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd.
6.5.1 Profile
6.5.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.5.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output & Sales
6.5.4 Capacity Layout
6.5.5 Revenue
6.6 Guohong Auto Group Co., Ltd.
6.6.1 Profile
6.6.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.6.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.6.4 Capacity Layout
6.7 BAIC Motor Corp Ltd
6.7.1 Profile
6.7.2 Revenue
6.7.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.7.4 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.7.5 Capacity Layout
6.8 Fujian New Longma Auto Co., Ltd.
6.8.1 Profile
6.8.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.8.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.8.4 Capacity Layout
6.9 Wuhu Bodge Automobile Co., Ltd.
6.9.1 Profile
6.9.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.9.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
6.9.4 Capacity Layout
6.10 Tianjin Qingyuan Electric Vehicle Co., Ltd.
6.10.1 Profile
6.10.2 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
6.10.3 Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Output
Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles with Independent Cargo Hold
Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles with Non-independent Cargo Hold
Principles of Ordinary DC Electric Logistics Vehicle Drive System
Principles of Variable Frequency Electric Logistics Vehicle Drive System
Upstream Sectors of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry
Downstream Sectors of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry
Global Electric Passenger Car Sales Volume (by Country or Region), 2013-2016H1
Progress in International Battery Electric Passenger Car Marketization
Monthly Sales Volume of Global New Energy Vehicles (EV&PHEV), 2014-2016
Ranking of Global New Energy Vehicle Enterprises by Sales Volume, Jan-Sep 2016
Sales Volume of Global Electric Passenger Cars (EV&PHEV), 2011-2020E
Monthly Sales Volume of Electric Vehicles in USA, 2014-2016
Monthly Sales Volume of Electric Vehicles in Europe, 2014-2016
Sales Volume of Electric Vehicles in Japan (by Model), 2013-2016
Output and Sales Volume of Electric Vehicles in China, 2010-2016H1
Monthly Output of Electric Passenger Cars in China, 2015-2016
Monthly Output of Electric Vehicles (Special Vehicles and Commercial Vehicles) in China, 2015-2016
China’s Electric Bus Output, 2015-2016
China's Battery Electric Truck Output, 2015-2016
Output of China’s Battery Electric Passenger Car Makers, 2016
Sales Volume of China’s Electric Passenger Cars (EV&PHEV), 2015-Oct 2016
Ranking of China’s New Energy Passenger Car Sales Volume (by Model), Jan-Oct 2016
Sales Volume and Market Share of China’s New Energy Passenger Car (EV, PHEV) Enterprises, Jan-Oct 2016
Output Comparison between New Energy Vehicles, Battery Electric Vehicles and Battery Electric Commercial Vehicles
Chinese Express Delivery Revenue As a Percentage of Postal Revenue, 2008-2015
Workload and YoY Change of Chinese Express Delivery Companies, 2007-2016
Revenue of Chinese Express Delivery Companies (by Business), 2014-2016
Daily Cumulative Distance of Urban Logistics Enterprises
Mileage of Electric Logistics Vehicle Models in Ninth Duty-free Catalog
Comparison between Electric Logistics Vehicles and Traditional Logistics Vehicles in Urban Logistics Applications
Ranking of Provinces by PM2.5, 2016H1
Progress of Vehicle Models of Some Electric Logistics Vehicle Leasing Companies
Three Modes for Purchase and Use of Electric Logistics Vehicles by Individuals or Enterprises Whose Application for Local Subsidies Is Limited
Cost Comparison between Rented Electric Logistics Vehicles and Purchased Fuel Logistics Vehicles (Taking DSTZC as an example)
Typical Operating Models of Electric Logistics Vehicle Leasing
Process of Electric Logistics Vehicle Short and Long-term Leasing
Typical Types and Prices of Electric Logistics Vehicles Leasing
Profitability of Different Leasing Modes
Newly-released Subsidy Standards for New Energy Passenger Car
Mileage of 275 Battery Electric Passenger Car Models in the 1st to 9th Batches Exempt from Purchase Tax
Newly-released Subsidy Standards for New Energy Truck
Newly-released Subsidy Standards for New Energy Bus
Newly-released Technical Requirements on New Energy Passenger Car
Energy Density of 275 Types of Battery Electric Passenger Car-use Battery Systems
Power Consumption per 100 km of 275 Battery Electric Passenger Car Models
Energy Density of 1,057 Types of Battery Electric Battery Electric Trucks and Automotive Battery Systems from First to Ninth Duty-free Catalog
Newly-released Technical Requirements on New Energy Bus
Mileage of 2,148 Battery Electric Bus Models
Energy Density of 2,148 Battery Electric Bus Models (wh/kg)
List of First Batch of New Energy Vehicle Promoters (Cities or Regions)
List of Second Batch of New Energy Vehicle Promoters (Cities or Regions)
China's New Energy Vehicle Promotion Plan in Demonstration Cities, 2014-2015
Central Policies Motivating the Development of Electric Logistics
Requirements on Energy Consumption of Special Vehicle and Trucks When Filing for New Promotion Catalog
Battery / Vehicle Weight Ratio of Electric Logistics Vehicles from First to Eighth Duty-free Catalog
Number of Electric Logistics Vehicle Models with the Ton-100 km Power Consumption of below 11kWh in Duty-free Catalog
Latest New Energy Truck / Special Vehicle Progressive and Cumulative Subsidy Program
Current Local Subsidies, Promotions or Other Policies for Electric Logistics Vehicles
Number of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles Exempt from Purchase Tax by MIIT, 2015-2016
Number of Vehicle Models Produced by Some Companies in Ninth Duty-free Catalog
Number of Models of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles Enterprises Exempt from Purchase Tax by MIIT, 2015
Average Mileage of Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles Enterprises Exempt from Purchase Tax by MIIT, 2016
Output of New Energy Logistics Vehicles, 2013-2016
Major Orders in Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Market, 2016
Sales Volume of New Energy Logistics Vehicles, 2013-2020E
Permeability of New Energy Logistics Vehicles, 2014-2020E
Monthly Output of Top 20 New Energy Logistics Vehicle Brands, 2015
Monthly Output of Top 20 New Energy Logistics Vehicle Brands, 2016
Output of Top 20 New Energy Logistics Vehicles Brands, 2015
Output of Top 20 New Energy Logistics Vehicles Brands, 2016
Market Share of Major Chinese Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Makers, 2015
Market Share of Major Chinese Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Enterprises, 2016
Output of Top 20 New Energy Logistics Vehicle Models, 2015
Output of Top 20 New Energy Logistics Vehicle Models, 2016
Top Ten Automobile Companies by Sales Volume of Special-purpose Electric Vehicles, 2015
Top Ten Automobile Companies by Sales Volume of Special-purpose Electric Vehicles, Jan-Nov 2016
Best-selling Electric Logistics Products of Chinese Automakers
Battery and Motor Suppliers of Chinese Electric Logistics Vehicle Enterprises
Electric Logistics Vehicle Launch Plans of Some Vehicle Makers, 2016
Cost Comparison between Electric Logistics Vehicles and Traditional Logistics Vehicles
Key Assumptions for Cost Estimation of Electric Logistics Vehicles and Traditional Logistics Vehicles
EQ5020XXYLBEV Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles of Dongfeng Motor
Technical Parameters of Dongfeng's EQ5020XXYLBEV Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle
Technical Parameters of Dongfeng's Other Light Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles
Technical Parameters of Dongfeng's Medium and Large-sized Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles
Output of Dongfeng Motor's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2016
Output of Dongfeng Motor's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles (by Model), 2016
Orders for Dongfeng Motor's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015-2016
Revenue, Net Income and Gross Margin of Dongfeng Motor, 2008-2016H1
Revenue of Dongfeng Motor (by Product), 2009-2016H1
Gross Margin of Dongfeng Motor (by Product), 2009-2016H1
Revenue of Dongfeng Motor (by Region), 2009-2015H1
Intelligent IOT System of Chongqing Ruichi
Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models of Chongqing Ruichi
Technical Parameters of Chongqing Ruichi's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle Models
Monthly Output of Chongqing Ruichi's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
Monthly Output of Chongqing Ruichi's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2016
Output of Chongqing Ruichi's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles (by Model), 2015
Output of Chongqing Ruichi's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles (by Model), 2016
Wellhead (Jingkou) Bases of Chongqing Ruichi
Electric Cattle No.1 of Shaanxi Tongjia
Electric Cattle No.2 of Shaanxi Tongjia
Technical Parameters of Shaanxi Tongjia's Electric Cattle No.2
Technical Parameters of Shaanxi Tongjia's Electric Cattle No.1
Monthly Output of Shaanxi Tongjia's Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2016
Output of Shaanxi Tongjia's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles (by Model), 2016
Technical Parameters of Chongqing Lifan's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles
Monthly Output of Chongqing Lifan's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
JAX5020XLCBEVF216LB15M2X1Battery Electric Refrigerated Trucks
Technical Parameters of JAX5020XLCBEVF216LB15M2X1Battery Electric Refrigerated Trucks
JAX5021XXYBEVF216LB15M2X1 Battery Electric Vans
JAX5021XXYBEVF216LB15M2X2 Battery Electric Vans
Technical Parameters of JAX5020CPYBEV Series Battery Electric Vans
JAX5024XLCBEVF266LB15M2X1Battery Electric Refrigerated Trucks
Technical Parameters of JAX5024XLCBEVF266LB15M2X1Battery Electric Refrigerated Trucks
JAX5024XXYBEVF216LB15M2X1 Battery Electric Vans
Technical Parameters of JAX5024XXYBEVF216LB15M2X1 Battery Electric Refrigerated Trucks
JAX5025XXYBEV Series Battery Electric Vans
Technical Parameters of JAX5025XXYBEV Series Battery Electric Vans
JAX5044XXYBEVF230LB70M2X2 Battery Electric Vans
Technical Parameters of JAX5044XXYBEVF230LB70M2X2 Battery Electric Vans
Marketing of Jiangsu Aoxin's Special Purpose Vehicles
Output of Jiangsu Aoxin’s Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles (by Model), 2016
Product Solutions of Jiangsu Aoxin's 20,000/a Carbon Fiber Lightweight Battery Electric Passenger Car Construction Project
Technical Parameters of Guohong's HFT5040XXYBEV Battery Electric Logistics Vehicle
Output of Guohong's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
Output of Guohong's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2016
BAIC Motor's Revenue, Net Income and Gross Margin, 2013-2016H1
BAIC Motor's Revenue (by Business), 2013-2016H1
BAIC Motor's Gross Margin (by Business), 2013-2016H1
Technical Parameters of BAIC Motor's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2016
Output of BAIC Motor's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
Technical Parameters of New Longma's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles
Output of New Longma's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
Technical Parameters of Wuhu Bodge's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles
Output of Wuhu Bodge's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
Output of Wuhu Bodge's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles (by Model), 2016
Technical Parameters of Tianjin Qingyuan's QY5021XYZBEVEL Battery Electric Postal Vehicles
Technical Parameters of Tianjin Qingyuan's QY5021XXYBEVYL Battery Electric Vans
Output of Tianjin Qingyuan's Battery Electric Logistics Vehicles, 2015
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