Oil rallies to record near US$120 on supply worries

   Date:2008/04/23     Source:

OIL surged to records near US$120 a barrel yesterday on the weaker dollar, export disruptions from Nigerian rebel attacks and concerns a Scottish refinery strike could hit North Sea production.

Further support came from data showing demand in China, the world's No. 2 consumer, leaped 8 percent in March from a year ago, the fastest rate in 19 months as refiners boosted imports ahead of the Olympics.

US crude CLc1> settled up US$1.89 at US$119.37 a barrel after hitting an all-time peak of US$119.90 earlier. London Brent crude LCOc1> gained US$1.52 to settle at US$115.95 a barrel, after rising to a record peak of US$116.75.

Oil's fresh highs extended a rally that has seen prices climb more than five-fold since 2002, as booming demand from emerging markets such as China has coincided with long-term supply constraints.

The slumping US greenback, which tumbled to fresh lows against the euro on Tuesday, has also helped boost dollar-denominated commodities like oil and attracted speculative inflows from hedge funds.

"The trend is up and the market didn't break down when it moved lower in the morning, and you have the weak dollar and the supply disruptions are in the mix," said Eric Wittenauer, analyst at Wachovia Securities.

Pipeline attacks in OPEC member Nigeria last week shut 169,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Bonny Light production, forcing Royal Dutch Shell Plc to declare force majeure on crude oil exports.

Nigerian rebels also attacked two Shell oil pipelines in the Niger Delta on Monday. ID:n21129451

Management and union officials are in talks to avoid a planned two-day strike at Scotland's Grangemouth refinery, which could force the shut-in of some oil and natural gas production from the North Sea.

Oil producers gathered in Rome for the International Energy Forum said they can do nothing to halt oil's rally and the world might have to live with even higher prices if it wants supplies for the future.

Ali al-Naimi, oil minister to OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia, said a lack of investment in crude and refining capacity -- not a lack of reserves -- was driving prices higher.

"Recently, I have observed an unprecedented level of uncertainty, doubt and even fear in discussions about the future of energy and its impact on global economic prospects," Naimi said.

"I can assure you unequivocally that the world is not running out of oil."

Rising energy costs and the US economic crisis have forced analysts to revise downward oil demand growth forecasts for the world's largest consumer, which has lobbied OPEC to increase output to help lower prices.

US President George W. Bush yesterday said he was concerned about record-high crude oil and gasoline prices, and said the United States needs to tap an Alaskan wildlife refuge to boost supply.

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