Oil Price Drifts Lower, Stays Above US$100 a Barrel

   Date:2012/01/20

THE price of benchmark oil ended a little lower yesterday following a series of economic reports that pointed to an improving US economy.

Jobless claims fell, consumer prices were steady and the dismal home construction market showed more signs of life at the end of 2011.

A stronger economy means demand for energy products should improve. However analysts say oil prices will continue to swing between gains and losses until there is more certainty about the direction of the global economy.

Benchmark oil fell 20 cents to finish at US$100.39 per barrel in New York yesterday. It was as high as US$102.06 earlier in the day.

Brent crude, which is used to price many varieties of foreign crude sent to US refineries, rose 89 cents to end at US$111.55 per barrel in London.

The Labor Department said the number of people seeking unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest level since April 2008. The drop is more evidence of a strengthening job market. A department spokesman said that the number can be volatile this time of year because it reflects temporary hires in the holiday season.

The government also reported that consumer prices were unchanged last month, as the inflation rate remains at a low.

Builders began construction on nearly 607,000 homes last year. That is about half of what economists say is needed for a healthy market. The numbers rose over the course of 2011, raising expectations that the collapse of the housing industry has at last hit bottom.

The Energy Department said yesterday that the nation's crude oil supplies declined about 1 percent last week. Gasoline supplies rose 1.7 percent and demand over the past four weeks is down 6.1 percent from a year ago.

Worries about Europe's debt crisis and future energy demand receded as France and Spain staged successful bond auctions, indicating that investors have not been scared off by S&P's recent downgrades of eurozone countries.

Gas pump prices in the US are at the highest level they've ever been for this time of year. The national average remained at US$3.38 a gallon (89 cents a liter) yesterday, according to AAA, Wright Express and OPIS. That's about 17 cents more than a month ago and 27 cents more than a year ago.

Fred Rozell, retail pricing director at Oil Price Information Service, expects gasoline prices to be around US$4 a gallon (US$1.05 a liter) by spring.

Natural gas prices dropped again yesterday, after the Energy Department said the nation's supplies fell last week but remained nearly 21 percent above the five-year average. Consumers, utilities and businesses are using less natural gas this winter because of persistent above-average temperatures across much of the nation. Natural gas futures fell 15 cents, or 6.1 percent, to finish at US$2.32 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Heating oil rose 2 cents to end at US$3.04 per gallon and gasoline futures fell 1 cent to end at US$2.82 per gallon.

Source:shanghaidaily

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