报告来源:http://www.bimarket.cn/Report/ReportInfo.aspx?Id=17859
Abstract
BMI maintains a particularly bearish outlook for vehicle sales in Malawi, forecasting a 3.3% fall in 2014. We believe that the macroeconomic picture is becoming increasingly poor - predicated on high inflation, the depreciating local currency, and high interest rates - which will curb sales growth.
Food insecurity has caused the price of maize to climb, and resulted in long queues for the little that is available. An estimated 2mn people are in need of food aid within the country and, for the first time in six years, Malawi has had to import maize from neighbouring Zambia to meet its domestic requirements. Public discontent is rising in Malawi, as inflation continues to soar, in large part due to the weak currency, as authorities have devalued the kwacha in preparation for the adoption of a floating exchange rate regime. The government had tried to address the issue through tight monetary policy, but with little effect.
Table of Contents
BMI Industry View ..................................... 5
SWOT ............................................ 6
Industry Forecast ...................................... 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Malawi 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Passenger Cars ............................................. 7
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Malawi 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Commercial Vehicles ............................................ 9
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Malawi 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .............................. 10
Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Competitive Landscape .................................. 14
Company Profile ...................................... 17
Company Monitor ............................................ 17
Regional Overview .................................... 20
Global Industry Overview .................................. 28
Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
European Growth Gathers Momentum ................................... 28
Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout ..................................... 30
China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness ................................... 31
Demographic Forecast ................................... 34
Table: Malawi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
Table: Malawi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Table: Malawi's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
Table: Malawi's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
Methodology ........................................ 38
Industry Forecasts ............................................ 38
Sector-Specific Methodology ........................................ 39
Sources ................................................ 39
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology .................................... 40
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . 41
报告来源:http://www.bimarket.cn/Report/ReportInfo.aspx?Id=17859